每日简报（2026-04-15）：利率与通胀

论点. 今日叙事主线为利率与通胀；以下为信源与影响。

主要信源

1. Trump threatens to fire Powell if the Fed chair doesn't leave office on his own (CNBC)
2. A few tankers and ships are going through the Strait of Hormuz. Here's the latest traffic (CNBC)
3. Bank of America tops estimates as CEO Brian Moynihan says consumer banking is 'healthy' (CNBC)
4. Cleveland Fed President Hammack expects interest rates to stay on hold 'for a good while' (CNBC)
5. Trump accounts sign up 5 million kids, with 1.2 million eligible for $1,000 seed money, Bessent says (CNBC)
6. Earned Income Tax Credit would rise to $5,500 per child under new Democratic measure (CNBC)

影响

• 利率：央行与通胀新闻带来的重定价风险；久期与实际利率驱动跨资产估值。
• 外汇：DXY、JPY 为风险锚；结合今日主题关注避险与套息轮动。
• 股市：板块轮动与波动率（VIX/MOVE）指导仓位；宽度与财报决定 regime。
• 商品：能源与金属为情绪与通胀代理；供给与储备与今日叙事挂钩。

不构成投资建议，仅供信息参考。来源：CNBC。